Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,578.7 to 7,616.8 points, up 0.50%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.4% to Bear Bias -37.4%, up 39.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.37%0.24%0.50%
Energy5.850.559.139.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.37% 0.24% 0.50% 5.8 50.5 59.1 39.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.50% — higher than 85% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 39.1 pts — higher than 87% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 18,059 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,271 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 811 times63.8%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 460 times36.2%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: -37.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 16.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 22.65%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H4 · 2026-09-15 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.4%
Bear Extreme
-37.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, SPX500 Index in trend energy leaning Bear.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy rose +39.1% this candle, currently -37.4% (previous candle -76.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -94.8 to +87.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,616.8, up 0.5% from the previous candle (7,578.7). Market Energy was -37.4%, up 39.1 points from -76.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,616.8, up 0.5% from the previous 4H candle (7,578.7). This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SPX500, across 11,885 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 39.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.4% to -37.4%. This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at -76.4%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -37.4%, SPX500 Index is 16.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 22.65 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.8%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Bias, -37.4%) sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 21.1%. SPX500 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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