Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,656.6 to 7,617 points, down 0.52%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.8% to Bear Bias -35.4%, down 111.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.44%0.04%0.17%0.52%
Energy57.01.012.1111.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.44% 0.04% 0.17% 0.52% 57.0 1.0 12.1 111.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.52% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 111.2 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 18,053 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,269 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 810 times63.8%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 459 times36.2%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: -35.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.6%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H4 · 2026-09-14 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.8%
Bull Extreme
-35.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, SPX500 Index within Bear Bias.

The energy side shows Market Energy at -35.4%, down -111.2% from 75.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -94.8 to +87.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,617, down 0.52% from the previous candle (7,656.6). Market Energy was -35.4%, down 111.2 points from 75.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,617, down 0.52% from the previous 4H candle (7,656.6). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500, across 11,877 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 111.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.8% to -35.4%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at 75.8%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.4%, SPX500 Index is 14.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.6 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Bias, -35.4%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.7%. SPX500 Index energy is currently below DXY by 44.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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