Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,738.3 to 7,719.8 points, down 0.24%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.5% to Bull Critical 62.1%, down 9.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.21%0.53%0.24%
Energy1.725.045.49.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.21% 0.53% 0.24% 1.7 25.0 45.4 9.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.24% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.4 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 18,071 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,070 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 393 times36.7%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 677 times63.3%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: 62.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.14%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H4 · 2026-08-27 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
71.5%
Bull Critical
62.1%
Bull Critical
59.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, SPX500 Index shows the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -9.4%, moving from 71.5% to 62.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -30.9 to +71.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 28-08-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,719.8, down 0.24% from the previous candle (7,738.3). Market Energy was 62.1%, down 9.4 points from 71.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,719.8, down 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (7,738.3). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500, across 11,814 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.5% to 62.1%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at 71.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.1%, SPX500 Index is 12.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.14 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Critical, 62.1%) has higher energy than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -29.5%. SPX500 Index (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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