Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,612.5 to 7,617.8 points, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Critical 66.0% to Bull Critical 63.4%, down 2.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.06%0.01%0.07%
Energy13.96.42.42.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.06% 0.01% 0.07% 13.9 6.4 2.4 2.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 45% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.6 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 69,735 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,665 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 1,313 times35.8%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 2,352 times64.2%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: 63.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.44%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2026-09-16 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
66.0%
Bull Critical
63.4%
Bull Critical
44.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Critical zone recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for SPX500 Index.

Market movement after the 1H candle closes, A -2.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 63.4% (previous: 66%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +88.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,617.8, up 0.07% from the previous candle (7,612.5). Market Energy was 63.4%, down 2.6 points from 66%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,617.8, up 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (7,612.5). This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 45,961 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66% to 63.4%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at 66%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.4%, SPX500 Index is 11.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.2%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Critical, 63.4%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26%. SPX500 Index (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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