Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,643.7 to 7,636.8 points, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Bias -26.6% to Bear Bias -34.2%, down 7.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.06%0.02%0.09%
Energy5.011.83.67.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.06% 0.02% 0.09% 5.0 11.8 3.6 7.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.6 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 69,632 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,082 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 3,261 times64.2%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 1,821 times35.8%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: -34.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.75%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-26.6%
Bear Bias
-34.2%
Bear Bias
-32.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, SPX500 Index in the Bear Bias level.

Looking at the energy level, A -7.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -34.2% (previous: -26.6%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 7 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +78.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,636.8, down 0.09% from the previous candle (7,643.7). Market Energy was -34.2%, down 7.6 points from -26.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,636.8, down 0.09% from the previous 1H candle (7,643.7). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 45,846 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -26.6% to -34.2%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at -26.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.2%, SPX500 Index is 13.37 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.75 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Bias, -34.2%) has higher energy than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 46.1%. SPX500 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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