Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,715.8 to 7,724.9 points, up 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.3% to Bear Extreme -76.7%, up 11.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.35%0.07%0.12%
Energy11.016.20.611.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.35% 0.07% 0.12% 11.0 16.2 0.6 11.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.12% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.7 pts — higher than 56% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 69,660 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,388 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,388 times100%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: -76.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.17%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.33%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2026-09-04 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-88.3%
Bear Extreme
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, SPX500 Index in Bear energy at peak level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system A +11.7% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -76.7% (previous: -88.3%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.1 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,724.9, up 0.12% from the previous candle (7,715.8). Market Energy was -76.7%, up 11.7 points from -88.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,724.9, up 0.12% from the previous 1H candle (7,715.8). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 45,774 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88.3% to -76.7%. This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at -88.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.7%, SPX500 Index is 2.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.33 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 8.5%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Extreme, -76.7%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.4%. SPX500 Index energy is currently below DXY by 85 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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