Analysis

SPX500 Index 7,627.8 points ↓0.09%: Bears in the peak-force zone · D Oct 25, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 7,660.3 · High 7,660.8 · Low 7,624.8 · Close 7,627.8 · Range (high − low) 36
SPX500 Index closed at 7,627.8 points, down 7 (-0.09%) from 7,634.8.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -76.7% to Bear Extreme at -77.2%, down 0.5 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price7,720.47,694.27,634.87,627.8
Energy-17.7%-34.1%-76.7%-77.2%
Price change↓ 0.17%↓ 0.34%↓ 0.77%↓ 0.09%
Energy change↑ 2.9↓ 16.4↓ 42.6↓ 0.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.17%↓ 0.34%↓ 0.77%↓ 0.09%↑ 2.9↓ 16.4↓ 42.6↓ 0.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.5 pts — higher than 3% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SPX500 Index Daily

Sample: 4,146 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 134 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 134 times — 100%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: -77.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.65%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.85%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · D1 · 2026-10-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SPX500 chart →
Market Energy
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-77.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, SPX500 Index within the peak Bear energy level.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -0.5% from the previous candle, from -76.7% to -77.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -77.2 to -17.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 25-10-2026, SPX500 Index was at 7,627.8, down 0.09% from the previous candle (7,634.8). Market Energy was -77.2%, down 0.5 points from -76.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,627.8, down 0.09% from the previous Daily candle (7,634.8). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500, across 2,433 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.7% to -77.2%. This drop is larger than 3% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SPX500 Index at -76.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.2%, SPX500 Index is 2.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.85 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Extreme, -77.2%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. SPX500 Index energy is currently below DXY by 89.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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