Analysis

SPX500 Index 7,800.6 points ↓0.36%: Bulls have the edge · D Oct 12, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 7,828.8 · High 7,837.9 · Low 7,797 · Close 7,800.6 · Range (high − low) 40.9
SPX500 Index closed at 7,800.6 points, down 28.4 (-0.36%) from 7,829.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 72.2% to Bull Bias at 58.3%, down 14.0 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price7,774.77,816.87,8297,800.6
Energy49.0%61.8%72.2%58.3%
Price change↓ 0.34%↑ 0.54%↑ 0.16%↓ 0.36%
Energy change↓ 19.6↑ 12.7↑ 10.5↓ 14.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.34%↑ 0.54%↑ 0.16%↓ 0.36%↓ 19.6↑ 12.7↑ 10.5↓ 14.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.36% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.0 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias SPX500 Index Daily

Sample: 4,142 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 419 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bull Bias:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 230 times — 54.9%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 189 times — 45.1%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: 58.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 37.38%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · D1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SPX500 chart →
Market Energy
72.2%
Bull Critical
58.3%
Bull Bias
43.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, SPX500 Index within the Bull Bias zone.

On trend energy, A -14% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 58.3% (previous: 72.2%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from 49 to 72.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, SPX500 Index was at 7,800.6, down 0.36% from the previous candle (7,829). Market Energy was 58.3%, down 14.0 points from 72.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,800.6, down 0.36% from the previous Daily candle (7,829). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500, across 2,422 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.2% to 58.3%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SPX500 Index at 72.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.3%, SPX500 Index is 1.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 37.38 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Bias, 58.3%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. SPX500 Index (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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