Analysis

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Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,594.4 to 7,587.1 points, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Bias -52.5% to Bear Bias -39.1%, up 13.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.58%0.15%0.38%0.10%
Energy2.413.52.013.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.58% 0.15% 0.38% 0.10% 2.4 13.5 2.0 13.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.4 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SPX500 Index Daily

Sample: 4,113 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 292 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 189 times64.7%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 103 times35.3%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: -39.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.92%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · D1 · 2026-09-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-52.5%
Bear Bias
-39.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, SPX500 Index in the Bear Bias energy state.

The energy side shows The energy level rose +13.4%: from -52.5% now at -39.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -63.9 to -39.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,587.1, down 0.1% from the previous candle (7,594.4). Market Energy was -39.1%, up 13.4 points from -52.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,587.1, down 0.1% from the previous Daily candle (7,594.4). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500, across 2,400 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52.5% to -39.1%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SPX500 Index at -52.5%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.1%, SPX500 Index is 18.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.92 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Bias, -39.1%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.1%. SPX500 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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