Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 121.99 to 119.85, down 1.75%
Market Energy Neutral 15.5% to Bear Bias -45.4%, down 60.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.77%▲ 1.05%▼ 0.85%▼ 1.75%
Energy▼ 64.8▼ 0.5▼ 8.3▼ 60.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.77%▲ 1.05%▼ 0.85%▼ 1.75%▼ 64.8▼ 0.5▼ 8.3▼ 60.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.75% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 60.9 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,428 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,132 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 709 times — 62.6%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 423 times — 37.4%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -45.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 14.57%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
15.5%
Neutral
-45.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, SOLUSD within the energy zone tilted toward Bear.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -60.9% from the previous session, from 15.5% to -45.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.3 to +89.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 119.85, down 1.75% from the previous candle (121.99). Market Energy was -45.4%, down 60.9 points from 15.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 119.85, down 1.75% from the previous 4H candle (121.99). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,432 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 60.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 15.5% to -45.4%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 15.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -45.4%, SOLUSD is 24.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 14.57 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -45.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.9%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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