Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 111.17 to 111.58, up 0.37%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.9% to Bull Critical 68.1%, down 10.8 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.31%1.50%0.65%0.37%
Energy11.675.315.610.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.31% 1.50% 0.65% 0.37% 11.6 75.3 15.6 10.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.37% — higher than 20% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.8 pts — higher than 51% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,391 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 712 times

When SOLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 214 times30.1%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 498 times69.9%

Current SOLUSD market energy: 68.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.07%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
78.9%
Bull Extreme
68.1%
Bull Critical
64.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD recorded in the near-extreme Bull energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, A -10.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 68.1% (previous: 78.9%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.6 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 111.58, up 0.37% from the previous candle (111.17). Market Energy was 68.1%, down 10.8 points from 78.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 111.58, up 0.37% from the previous 4H candle (111.17). This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,390 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.9% to 68.1%. This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 78.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.1%, SOLUSD is 6.43 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.07 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.7%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Critical, 68.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37.1%. SOLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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