Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09734 to 0.09515, down 2.25%
Market Energy Bull Bias 38.7% to Bear Bias -39.2%, down 78.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.39%0.24%0.53%2.25%
Energy9.912.70.778.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.39% 0.24% 0.53% 2.25% 9.9 12.7 0.7 78.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.25% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 78.0 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,390 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 346 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 249 times72%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 97 times28%

Current POLUSD market energy: -39.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.78%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
38.7%
Bull Bias
-39.2%
Bear Bias
-35.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, POLUSD shows the Bear Bias energy zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, The energy level dropped -78%: from 38.7% now at -39.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -39.2 to +98.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.09515, down 2.25% from the previous candle (0.09734). Market Energy was -39.2%, down 78.0 points from 38.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09515, down 2.25% from the previous 4H candle (0.09734). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,344 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 78 percentage points from the previous candle — from 38.7% to -39.2%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD on record since 2019.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 38.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.2%, POLUSD is 18.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.78 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -39.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.6%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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