Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09095 to 0.08955, down 1.54%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.0% to Bull Critical 63.0%, down 8.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.05%6.75%2.86%1.54%
Energy27.844.010.18.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.05% 6.75% 2.86% 1.54% 27.8 44.0 10.1 8.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.54% — higher than 73% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.0 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,421 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-20
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 136 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times27.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 98 times72.1%

Current POLUSD market energy: 63.01%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.01%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
71.0%
Bull Critical
63.0%
Bull Critical
60.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, Result for POLUSD: the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Energy delta -8%: Market Energy at 63%, previously 71%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -11 to +73.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 21-08-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.08955, down 1.54% from the previous candle (0.09095). Market Energy was 63%, down 8.0 points from 71%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.08955, down 1.54% from the previous 4H candle (0.09095). This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,242 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71% to 63%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 71%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63%, POLUSD is 11.49 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.01 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 63%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.3%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 51.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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