Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.08105 to 0.08152, up 0.58%
Market Energy Bull Bias 57.5% to Bull Critical 61.3%, up 3.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.11%0.19%0.01%0.58%
Energy20.98.59.53.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.11% 0.19% 0.01% 0.58% 20.9 8.5 9.5 3.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.58% — higher than 35% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.8 pts — higher than 23% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,373 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 134 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 96 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 61.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.28%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
57.5%
Bull Bias
61.3%
Bull Critical
84.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, POLUSD within the Bull Critical state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from 57.5% to 61.3%, up +3.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -1.1 to +75.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 13-07-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.08152, up 0.58% from the previous candle (0.08105). Market Energy was 61.3%, up 3.8 points from 57.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.08152, up 0.58% from the previous 4H candle (0.08105). This rise is larger than 35% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,006 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 57.5% to 61.3%. This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 57.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.3%, POLUSD is 13.22 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.28 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -100%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 61.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.5%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 62.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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