Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09643 to 0.09634, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Critical -60.8% to Bear Bias -35.2%, up 25.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.52%0.76%0.63%0.09%
Energy58.735.617.925.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.52% 0.76% 0.63% 0.09% 58.7 35.6 17.9 25.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 9% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 25.5 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,422 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,398 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,011 times72.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 387 times27.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -35.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.77%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-60.8%
Bear Critical
-35.2%
Bear Bias
-14.7%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 1H candle, POLUSD in the Bear Bias level.

Market energy movement The energy level rose +25.5%: from -60.8% now at -35.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -82 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.09634, down 0.09% from the previous candle (0.09643). Market Energy was -35.2%, up 25.5 points from -60.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09634, down 0.09% from the previous 1H candle (0.09643). This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 17,429 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 25.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.8% to -35.2%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -60.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.2%, POLUSD is 14.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.77 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -35.2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 49.9%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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