Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.07444 to 0.07402, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.2% to Bull Bias 39.8%, down 41.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%1.12%0.23%0.56%
Energy4.539.314.141.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 1.12% 0.23% 0.56% 4.5 39.3 14.1 41.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 41.4 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,465 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,291 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 366 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 925 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 39.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 20.19%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 18.93%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-08-04 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
81.2%
Bull Extreme
39.8%
Bull Bias
23.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, POLUSD reflects the energy state leaning Bull.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -41.4%: from 81.2% now at 39.8%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.4 to +83.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07402, down 0.56% from the previous candle (0.07444). Market Energy was 39.8%, down 41.4 points from 81.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07402, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (0.07444). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 16,558 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 41.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.2% to 39.8%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 81.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 39.8%, POLUSD is 20.19 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 18.93 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 39.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26.8%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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