Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.5674 to 0.56732, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.6% to Bear Extreme -76.3%, up 1.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.15%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.01%
Energy▲ 6.4▲ 9.6▲ 3.1▲ 1.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.15%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.01%▲ 6.4▲ 9.6▲ 3.1▲ 1.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 6% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.3 pts — higher than 7% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,237 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 262 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 262 times — 100%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: -76.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.72%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-77.6%
Bear Extreme
-76.3%
Bear Extreme
-69.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, NZDUSD shows the Bear Extreme energy zone.

Market trend energy A +1.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -76.3% (previous: -77.6%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +76.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.56732, down 0.01% from the previous candle (0.5674). Market Energy was -76.3%, up 1.3 points from -77.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56732, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.5674). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 12,023 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.6% to -76.3%. This rise is larger than 7% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at -77.6%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.3%, NZDUSD is 1.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.6%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Extreme, -76.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.4%. NZDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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