Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58715 to 0.58677, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.4% to Bull Extreme 74.6%, down 5.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 25% of past drops
Energy down 5.7 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.720.060.160.0624.87.58.15.7-3-2-1nến này
NZDUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,123 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 207 times

When NZDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 207 times100%

Current NZDUSD market energy: 74.62%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 25.38%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.12%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-31 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
80.4%
Bull Extreme
74.6%
Bull Extreme
78.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Market Energy of NZDUSD indicates the Bull Extreme level.

Market energy movement Compared to the previous candle (80.4%), Market Energy dropped -5.7% to 74.6%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -58 to +88.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was NZDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 31-07-2026 closed, NZDUSD was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 74.6%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.4% to 74.6%.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 80.4%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 74.6%, NZDUSD is 25.38 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 0.12 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.8%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Extreme, 74.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -60.3%. NZDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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