Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58304 to 0.58041, down 0.45%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -94.2% to Bear Extreme -97.2%, down 3.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.08%0.18%0.45%
Energy1.915.664.23.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.08% 0.18% 0.45% 1.9 15.6 64.2 3.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.45% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.0 pts — higher than 21% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,740 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,019 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,019 times100%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -97.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.65%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 2.85%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-94.2%
Bear Extreme
-97.2%
Bear Extreme
-98.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, NZDUSD within the peak Bear energy level.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -3% this candle, currently -97.2% (previous candle -94.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +84.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.58041, down 0.45% from the previous candle (0.58304). Market Energy was -97.2%, down 3.0 points from -94.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.58041, down 0.45% from the previous 1H candle (0.58304). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 47,910 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -94.2% to -97.2%. This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDUSD at -94.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -97.2%, NZDUSD is 22.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 2.85 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.5%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Extreme, -97.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 83.1%. NZDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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