Analysis

NZDJPY 88.869 ↑0.25%: Bears in the peak-force zone · W Oct 5, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 88.607 · High 89.08 · Low 88.156 · Close 88.869 · Range (high − low) 0.924
NZDJPY closed at 88.869, up 0.219 (+0.25%) from 88.65.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -89.3% to Bear Extreme at -81.0%, up 8.3 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price89.772589.083588.6588.869
Energy-95.8%-90.0%-89.3%-81.0%
Price change↑ 0.54%↓ 0.77%↓ 0.49%↑ 0.25%
Energy change↑ 2.9↑ 5.8↑ 0.7↑ 8.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.54%↓ 0.77%↓ 0.49%↑ 0.25%↑ 2.9↑ 5.8↑ 0.7↑ 8.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.25% — higher than 17% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.3 pts — higher than 32% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDJPY Weekly

Sample: 720 Weekly candles from 2016-04-21 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 21 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 21 times — 100%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -81.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.54%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.96%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · W1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-89.3%
Bear Extreme
-81.0%
Bear Extreme
-64.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Weekly candle data, NZDJPY shows the Bear Extreme state.

At the Weekly session close, Compared to the previous candle (-89.3%), Market Energy rose +8.3% to -81%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 05-10-2026, NZDJPY was at 88.869, up 0.25% from the previous candle (88.65). Market Energy was -81%, up 8.3 points from -89.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 88.869, up 0.25% from the previous Weekly candle (88.65). This rise is larger than 17% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for NZDJPY, across 440 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.3% to -81%. This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had NZDJPY at -89.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81%, NZDJPY is 6.54 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.96 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Extreme, -81%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. NZDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 66.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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