Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDJPY from 89.807 to 89.551, down 0.29%
Market Energy Bull Bias 22.2% to Bear Bias -58.9%, down 81.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.29%
Energy▼ 1.3▼ 9.0▼ 20.4▼ 81.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.29%▼ 1.3▼ 9.0▼ 20.4▼ 81.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.29% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 81.1 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NZDJPY 4H

Sample: 282 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 24 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 14 times — 58.3%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 10 times — 41.7%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -58.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.07%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-25 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
22.2%
Bull Bias
-58.9%
Bear Bias
-50.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, NZDJPY classified as Bear Bias.

Looking at the energy level, A -81.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -58.9% (previous: 22.2%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -78.9 to +70.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, NZDJPY was at 89.551, down 0.29% from the previous candle (89.807). Market Energy was -58.9%, down 81.1 points from 22.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 89.551, down 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (89.807). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 277 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 81.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.2% to -58.9%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDJPY at 22.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.9%, NZDJPY is 38.05 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.07 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 31.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Bias, -58.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.6%. NZDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 55.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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