Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDJPY from 95.101 to 94.684, down 0.44%
Market Energy Bull Bias 49.9% to Bear Critical -72.0%, down 121.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.08%0.05%0.44%
Energy32.79.313.0121.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.08% 0.05% 0.44% 32.7 9.3 13.0 121.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.44% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 121.9 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDJPY 4H

Sample: 230 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 17 times

When NZDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 11 times64.7%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 6 times35.3%

Current NZDJPY market energy: -72.01%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.49%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-26 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
49.9%
Bull Bias
-72.0%
Bear Critical
-82.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, NZDJPY within the Bear Critical state.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -121.9% from the previous session, from 49.9% to -72%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -72 to +93.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, NZDJPY was at 94.684, down 0.44% from the previous candle (95.101). Market Energy was -72%, down 121.9 points from 49.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 94.684, down 0.44% from the previous 4H candle (95.101). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 145 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 121.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 49.9% to -72%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDJPY at 49.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72%, NZDJPY is 12.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.49 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -57.9%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Critical, -72%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.9%. NZDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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