Analysis

NZDCAD 0.7976 ↓0.05%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.79804 · High 0.79843 · Low 0.79738 · Close 0.7976 · Range (high − low) 0.001055
NZDCAD closed at 0.7976, down 0.00043 (-0.05%) from 0.79803.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -78.1% to Bear Extreme at -86.0%, down 7.9 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.799450.79870.798030.7976
Energy12.7%-46.4%-78.1%-86.0%
Price change↓ 0.11%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.08%↓ 0.05%
Energy change↓ 29.0↓ 59.2↓ 31.7↓ 7.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.11%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.08%↓ 0.05%↓ 29.0↓ 59.2↓ 31.7↓ 7.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 32% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.9 pts — higher than 36% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDCAD 4H

Sample: 394 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 13 times

▸When NZDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDCAD moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 100%
  • then NZDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDCAD market energy: -86.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.53%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.97%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

NZDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-78.1%
Bear Extreme
-86.0%
Bear Extreme
-78.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, NZDCAD classified as the Bear Extreme zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy at -86%, down -7.9% from -78.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDCAD Market Energy ranged from -86 to 58.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 12-10-2026, NZDCAD was at 0.7976, down 0.05% from the previous candle (0.79803). Market Energy was -86%, down 7.9 points from -78.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDCAD closed at 0.7976, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (0.79803). This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDCAD, across 346 candles since 2019.

How did NZDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -78.1% to -86%. This drop is larger than 36% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDCAD.

Do NZDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDCAD at -78.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86%, NZDCAD is 11.53 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.97 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24%. Against this backdrop, NZDCAD (Bear Extreme, -86%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.9%. NZDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDCAD on the NZDCAD overview →

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