Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.284 to 2.273, down 0.48%
Market Energy Bear Bias -37.2% to Bear Critical -67.0%, down 29.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.86%0.51%1.89%0.48%
Energy17.76.252.629.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.86% 0.51% 1.89% 0.48% 17.7 6.2 52.6 29.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.48% — higher than 41% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 29.8 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 51,738 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,709 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,303 times76.2%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 406 times23.8%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.5%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 03:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-37.2%
Bear Bias
-67.0%
Bear Critical
23.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, NEARUSD within the Bear Critical level.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -29.8%, moving from -37.2% to -67% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.1 to +95.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.273, down 0.48% from the previous candle (2.284). Market Energy was -67%, down 29.8 points from -37.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.273, down 0.48% from the previous 1H candle (2.284). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 51,720 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.2% to -67%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at -37.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67%, NEARUSD is 7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.5 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.8%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -67%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.5%. NEARUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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