Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NAS100 Index from 31,164 to 31,010.9 points, down 0.49%
Market Energy Neutral -6.8% to Bear Extreme -78.5%, down 71.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.02%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.19%▼ 0.49%
Energy▼ 6.5▼ 11.9▼ 57.9▼ 71.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.02%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.19%▼ 0.49%▼ 6.5▼ 11.9▼ 57.9▼ 71.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.49% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.8 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NAS100 Index 4H

Sample: 18,149 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 627 times

▸When NAS100 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NAS100 Index moved to higher Market State: 627 times — 100%
  • then NAS100 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NAS100 Index market energy: -78.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.02%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.48%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NAS100 · H4 · 2026-10-07 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NAS100 chart →
Market Energy
-6.8%
Neutral
-78.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Market Energy of NAS100 Index indicates the Extreme state of Bear.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from -6.8% to -78.5%, down -71.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NAS100 Index Market Energy ranged from -78.5 to +97.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NAS100 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, NAS100 Index was at 31,010.9, down 0.49% from the previous candle (31,164). Market Energy was -78.5%, down 71.8 points from -6.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NAS100 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NAS100 closed at 31,010.9, down 0.49% from the previous 4H candle (31,164). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100, across 11,979 candles since 2019.

How did NAS100 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -6.8% to -78.5%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100.

Do NAS100 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NAS100 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NAS100 Index at -6.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NAS100 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does NAS100 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.5%, NAS100 Index is 4.02 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.48 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.4%. Against this backdrop, NAS100 Index (Bear Extreme, -78.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.7%. NAS100 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NAS100 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NAS100 on the NAS100 Index overview →

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