Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NAS100 Index from 30,483.8 to 30,453.7 points, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 85.6% to Bull Critical 73.1%, down 12.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.39%▼ 0.29%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.10%
Energy▼ 0.0▼ 3.5▼ 10.8▼ 12.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.39%▼ 0.29%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.0▼ 3.5▼ 10.8▼ 12.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.5 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NAS100 Index 4H

Sample: 18,104 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 993 times

▸When NAS100 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then NAS100 Index moved to higher Market State: 422 times — 42.5%
  • then NAS100 Index moved to lower Market State: 571 times — 57.5%

▸Current NAS100 Index market energy: 73.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.11%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NAS100 · H4 · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
85.6%
Bull Extreme
73.1%
Bull Critical
78.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, NAS100 Index recorded in the Bull Critical reading.

Meanwhile, Market Energy reading dropped -12.5%, moving from 85.6% to 73.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NAS100 Index Market Energy ranged from +21.7 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NAS100 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, NAS100 Index was at 30,453.7, down 0.1% from the previous candle (30,483.8). Market Energy was 73.1%, down 12.5 points from 85.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NAS100 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NAS100 closed at 30,453.7, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (30,483.8). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100, across 11,915 candles since 2019.

How did NAS100 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 85.6% to 73.1%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100.

Do NAS100 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NAS100 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NAS100 Index at 85.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, NAS100 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does NAS100 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.1%, NAS100 Index is 1.39 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.11 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.9%. Against this backdrop, NAS100 Index (Bull Critical, 73.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -18.4%. NAS100 Index energy is currently above DXY by 91.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NAS100 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NAS100 on the NAS100 Index overview →

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