Analysis

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Price and energy
NAS100 Index from 29,537.05 to 29,364.6 points, down 0.58%
Market Energy Neutral 9.9% to Bear Bias -59.6%, down 69.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.19%0.17%0.58%
Energy2.726.97.769.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.19% 0.17% 0.58% 2.7 26.9 7.7 69.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.58% — higher than 80% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 69.5 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NAS100 Index 4H

Sample: 18,032 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,160 times

When NAS100 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then NAS100 Index moved to higher Market State: 736 times63.4%
  • then NAS100 Index moved to lower Market State: 424 times36.6%

Current NAS100 Index market energy: -59.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.75%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 0.37%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NAS100 · H4 · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
9.9%
Neutral
-59.6%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, NAS100 Index currently in Bear Bias.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -69.5%: from 9.9% now at -59.6%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NAS100 Index Market Energy ranged from -59.6 to +75.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NAS100 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, NAS100 Index was at 29,364.6, down 0.58% from the previous candle (29,537.05). Market Energy was -59.6%, down 69.5 points from 9.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NAS100 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NAS100 closed at 29,364.6, down 0.58% from the previous 4H candle (29,537.05). This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100, across 11,863 candles since 2019.

How did NAS100 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 69.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 9.9% to -59.6%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NAS100.

Do NAS100 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NAS100 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NAS100 Index at 9.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NAS100 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does NAS100 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -59.6%, NAS100 Index is 38.75 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 0.37 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.9%. Against this backdrop, NAS100 Index (Bear Bias, -59.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.4%. NAS100 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NAS100 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NAS100 on the NAS100 Index overview →

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