Analysis

GER40 Index 25,188.3 points ↓0.35%: Bears have the edge · W Oct 5, 2026

·
Candle open
Price and energy
Open 25,302 · High 25,523.1 · Low 24,787.4 · Close 25,188.3 · Range (high − low) 735.7
GER40 Index closed at 25,188.3 points, down 88.5 (-0.35%) from 25,276.8.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -24.2% to Bear Bias at -22.7%, up 1.5 points.
Second straight down candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price25,33225,55225,27725,188
Energy-37.3%-24.0%-24.2%-22.7%
Price change↓ 0.92%↑ 0.87%↓ 1.08%↓ 0.35%
Energy change↓ 49.8↑ 13.3↓ 0.2↑ 1.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.92%↑ 0.87%↓ 1.08%↓ 0.35%↓ 49.8↑ 13.3↓ 0.2↑ 1.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.5 pts — higher than 6% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GER40 Index Weekly

Sample: 640 Weekly candles from 2014-07-14 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 53 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 38 times — 71.7%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 15 times — 28.3%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: -22.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.32%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · W1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
-24.2%
Bear Bias
-22.7%
Bear Bias
-5.5%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The energy zone tilted toward Bear is the result just recorded for GER40 Index after the Weekly candle closed.

Market trend update: Market Energy rose +1.5% from the previous session, from -24.2% to -22.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 05-10-2026, GER40 Index was at 25,188.3, down 0.35% from the previous candle (25,276.8). Market Energy was -22.7%, up 1.5 points from -24.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GER40 price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,188.3, down 0.35% from the previous Weekly candle (25,276.8). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for GER40, across 405 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -24.2% to -22.7%. This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had GER40 Index at -24.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.7%, GER40 Index is 1.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.32 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Bias, -22.7%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. GER40 Index energy is currently below DXY by 7.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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