Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,056.8 to 25,222.65 points, up 0.66%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.7% to Bull Critical 62.3%, up 108.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.15%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.43%▲ 0.66%
Energy▼ 13.7▼ 0.8▲ 13.3▲ 108.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.15%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.43%▲ 0.66%▼ 13.7▼ 0.8▲ 13.3▲ 108.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.66% — higher than 88% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 108.0 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,859 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 929 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 344 times — 37%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 585 times — 63%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: 62.31%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.19%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.31%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-10-02 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
-45.7%
Bear Bias
62.3%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, GER40 Index shows the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy rose +108% from the previous candle, from -45.7% to 62.3%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -94.2 to +62.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,222.65, up 0.66% from the previous candle (25,056.8). Market Energy was 62.3%, up 108.0 points from -45.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,222.65, up 0.66% from the previous 4H candle (25,056.8). This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,890 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 108 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.7% to 62.3%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at -45.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.3%, GER40 Index is 12.19 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.31 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.3%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bull Critical, 62.3%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. GER40 Index energy is currently above DXY by 65.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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