Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,505 to 25,406.8 points, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.1% to Bear Extreme -92.0%, down 10.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.20%0.37%0.39%
Energy3.77.20.910.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.20% 0.37% 0.39% 3.7 7.2 0.9 10.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,765 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 531 times

When GER40 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 531 times100%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GER40 Index market energy: -92.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 17.55%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 7.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-82.1%
Bear Extreme
-92.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, GER40 Index in the Bear Extreme energy zone.

End-of-session update for 4H, A -10% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -92% (previous: -82.1%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -92.1 to +27.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,406.8, down 0.39% from the previous candle (25,505). Market Energy was -92%, down 10.0 points from -82.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,406.8, down 0.39% from the previous 4H candle (25,505). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,798 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.1% to -92%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at -82.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -92%, GER40 Index is 17.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 7.95 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.8%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Extreme, -92%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 31%. GER40 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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