Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,867.5 to 25,880.8 points, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Bias -51.9% to Bear Bias -54.0%, down 2.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.67%0.22%0.31%0.05%
Energy36.112.720.72.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.67% 0.22% 0.31% 0.05% 36.1 12.7 20.7 2.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 13% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.2 pts — higher than 11% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,763 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,158 times

When GER40 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 756 times65.3%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 402 times34.7%

Current GER40 Index market energy: -54.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 33.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 5.97%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-09-08 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-51.9%
Bear Bias
-54.0%
Bear Bias
-50.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, GER40 Index in the Bear Bias energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading dropped -2.2%, moving from -51.9% to -54% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -80 to +87.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,880.8, up 0.05% from the previous candle (25,867.5). Market Energy was -54%, down 2.2 points from -51.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,880.8, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (25,867.5). This rise is larger than 13% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,789 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -51.9% to -54%. This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at -51.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -54%, GER40 Index is 33.15 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 5.97 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -38.5%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Bias, -54%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -36.5%. GER40 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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