Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,964.25 to 26,014.85 points, up 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -83.0% to Bear Critical -64.4%, up 18.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 44% of past rises
Energy up 18.6 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.040.580.100.190.734.50.218.6-3-2-1nến này
GER40 hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,723 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 680 times

When GER40 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 467 times68.7%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 213 times31.3%

Current GER40 Index market energy: -64.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.1%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-08-20 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-83.0%
Bear Extreme
-64.4%
Bear Critical
-58.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, GER40 Index classified as the near-peak Bear energy level.

On trend energy, The energy level rose +18.6%: from -83% now at -64.4%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -90.3 to +21.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was GER40 Index on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 20-08-2026 closed, GER40 Index was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -64.4%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 18.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -83% to -64.4%.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at -83%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.4%, GER40 Index is 4.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.1 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Critical, -64.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 48.5%. GER40 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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