Analysis

GER40 Index 25,209.4 points ↓0.1%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 01:00 Oct 20, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 25,233.9 · High 25,234.9 · Low 25,194.4 · Close 25,209.4 · Range (high − low) 40.5
GER40 Index closed at 25,209.4 points, down 24 (-0.10%) from 25,233.4.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -62.8% to Bear Extreme at -76.6%, down 13.8 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price25,20525,30325,23325,209
Energy-92.7%-62.3%-62.8%-76.6%
Price change↓ 0.11%↑ 0.39%↓ 0.28%↓ 0.10%
Energy change↑ 2.3↑ 30.4↓ 0.5↓ 13.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.11%↑ 0.39%↓ 0.28%↓ 0.10%↑ 2.3↑ 30.4↓ 0.5↓ 13.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.8 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GER40 Index 1H

Sample: 62,459 1H candles from 2014-07-10 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,150 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,150 times — 100%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: -76.61%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.11%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.39%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H1 · 2026-10-19 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
-62.8%
Bear Critical
-76.6%
Bear Extreme
-76.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, GER40 Index classified as the Bear Extreme reading.

On trend energy, Market Energy at -76.6%, down -13.8% from -62.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -98.7 to 99.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 01:00 on 20-10-2026, GER40 Index was at 25,209.4, down 0.1% from the previous candle (25,233.4). Market Energy was -76.6%, down 13.8 points from -62.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,209.4, down 0.1% from the previous 1H candle (25,233.4). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GER40, across 43,807 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.8% to -76.6%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had GER40 Index at -62.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.6%, GER40 Index is 2.11 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.39 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 12%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Extreme, -76.6%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.4%. GER40 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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