Analysis

GBPUSD 1.3204 ↓0.43%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 20:00 Oct 14, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.3261 · High 1.3274 · Low 1.3203 · Close 1.3204 · Range (high − low) 0.00708
GBPUSD closed at 1.3204, down 0.00575 (-0.43%) from 1.3262.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 77.5% to Bear Extreme at -88.4%, down 165.9 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.32621.32731.32621.3204
Energy81.9%92.5%77.5%-88.4%
Price change↑ 0.05%↑ 0.09%↓ 0.08%↓ 0.43%
Energy change↑ 6.7↑ 10.5↓ 15.0↓ 165.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.05%↑ 0.09%↓ 0.08%↓ 0.43%↑ 6.7↑ 10.5↓ 15.0↓ 165.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.43% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 165.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,349 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 273 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 273 times — 100%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -88.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 13.93%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 11.57%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPUSD chart →
Market Energy
77.5%
Bull Extreme
-88.4%
Bear Extreme
-99.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, GBPUSD within Bear Extreme.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy reading dropped -165.9%, moving from 77.5% to -88.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to 92.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 14-10-2026, GBPUSD was at 1.3204, down 0.43% from the previous candle (1.3262). Market Energy was -88.4%, down 165.9 points from 77.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3204, down 0.43% from the previous 4H candle (1.3262). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 12,124 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 165.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.5% to -88.4%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD on record since 2019.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 77.5%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -88.4%, GBPUSD is 13.93 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 11.57 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Extreme, -88.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.6%. GBPUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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