Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3484 to 1.3468, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -79.9% to Bear Extreme -92.9%, down 13.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.10%0.15%0.12%
Energy13.344.951.713.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.10% 0.15% 0.12% 13.3 44.9 51.7 13.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 56% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.0 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,202 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 262 times

When GBPUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 262 times100%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPUSD market energy: -92.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 18.44%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 7.06%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-79.9%
Bear Extreme
-92.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, GBPUSD in the Bear Extreme state.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -13% from the previous session, from -79.9% to -92.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.9 to +29.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3468, down 0.12% from the previous candle (1.3484). Market Energy was -92.9%, down 13.0 points from -79.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3468, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (1.3484). This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 11,992 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.9% to -92.9%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -79.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -92.9%, GBPUSD is 18.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 7.06 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.9%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Extreme, -92.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 88.7%. GBPUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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