Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPJPY from 207.9685 to 208.8785, up 0.44%
Market Energy Bear Critical -62.9% to Neutral 11.1%, up 73.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▼ 0.22%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.44%
Energy▲ 3.8▼ 16.5▼ 5.2▲ 73.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▼ 0.22%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.44%▲ 3.8▼ 16.5▼ 5.2▲ 73.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.44% — higher than 94% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 73.9 pts — higher than 97% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,275 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,568 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Neutral:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 846 times — 54%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 722 times — 46%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: 11.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 9.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.95%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-10-02 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-62.9%
Bear Critical
11.1%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Result for GBPJPY: the neutral energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy at 11.1%, up +73.9% from -62.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -74.6 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 208.8785, up 0.44% from the previous candle (207.9685). Market Energy was 11.1%, up 73.9 points from -62.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 208.8785, up 0.44% from the previous 4H candle (207.9685). This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 12,069 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 73.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.9% to 11.1%. This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at -62.9%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Neutral.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 11.1%, GBPJPY is 9.81 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.95 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Neutral, 11.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.3%. GBPJPY energy is currently above DXY by 102.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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