Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPCHF from 1.1078 to 1.1078, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.3% to Bull Critical 68.0%, down 10.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.22%▼ 0.01%
Energy▲ 7.0▲ 11.9▲ 1.5▼ 10.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.22%▼ 0.01%▲ 7.0▲ 11.9▲ 1.5▼ 10.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.4 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPCHF 4H

Sample: 293 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When GBPCHF is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPCHF moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 45.5%
  • then GBPCHF moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 54.5%

▸Current GBPCHF market energy: 67.98%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.98%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPCHF · H4 · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
78.3%
Bull Extreme
68.0%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull Critical recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for GBPCHF.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at 68%, down -10.4% from 78.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCHF Market Energy ranged from +43.5 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, GBPCHF was at 1.1078, down 0.01% from the previous candle (1.1078). Market Energy was 68%, down 10.4 points from 78.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCHF closed at 1.1078, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1.1078). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF, across 296 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.3% to 68%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF.

Do GBPCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCHF at 78.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPCHF energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68%, GBPCHF is 6.52 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.98 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.5%. Against this backdrop, GBPCHF (Bull Critical, 68%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.4%. GBPCHF energy is currently above DXY by 83.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCHF on the GBPCHF overview →

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