Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPCAD from 1.8842 to 1.8785, down 0.30%
Market Energy Bear Bias -37.0% to Bear Extreme -75.8%, down 38.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.30%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.30%
Energy▼ 5.5▼ 126.9▲ 3.8▼ 38.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.30%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.30%▼ 5.5▼ 126.9▲ 3.8▼ 38.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.30% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.8 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 260 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 5 times

▸When GBPCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 100%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current GBPCAD market energy: -75.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.29%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.21%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPCAD chart →
Market Energy
-37.0%
Bear Bias
-75.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear energy at Extreme recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for GBPCAD.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy reading dropped -38.8%, moving from -37% to -75.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -75.8 to +91.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, GBPCAD was at 1.8785, down 0.3% from the previous candle (1.8842). Market Energy was -75.8%, down 38.8 points from -37%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCAD closed at 1.8785, down 0.3% from the previous 4H candle (1.8842). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD, across 262 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37% to -75.8%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD.

Do GBPCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at -37%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.8%, GBPCAD is 1.29 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.21 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bear Extreme, -75.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. GBPCAD energy is currently below DXY by 94.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

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