Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.80279 to 0.79344, down 1.16%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.4% to Bear Extreme -80.7%, down 12.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.88%▼ 0.35%▲ 0.34%▼ 1.16%
Energy▼ 7.0▼ 3.3▲ 13.5▼ 12.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.88%▼ 0.35%▲ 0.34%▼ 1.16%▼ 7.0▼ 3.3▲ 13.5▼ 12.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.16% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.3 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COTTON 4H

Sample: 199 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 5 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 100%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -80.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.16%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.34%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-68.4%
Bear Critical
-80.7%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, COTTON in Bear energy in an extreme reading.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta -12.3%: Market Energy at -80.7%, previously -68.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to +67.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.79344, down 1.16% from the previous candle (0.80279). Market Energy was -80.7%, down 12.3 points from -68.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.79344, down 1.16% from the previous 4H candle (0.80279). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 198 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.4% to -80.7%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -68.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.7%, COTTON is 6.16 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.34 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Extreme, -80.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 99.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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