Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURCAD from 1.6074 to 1.5984, down 0.57%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -85.1% to Bear Extreme -96.2%, down 11.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.05%▼ 0.25%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.57%
Energy▼ 8.8▼ 122.5▼ 7.2▼ 11.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.05%▼ 0.25%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.57%▼ 8.8▼ 122.5▼ 7.2▼ 11.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.57% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.1 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURCAD 4H

Sample: 300 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 8 times

▸When EURCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURCAD moved to higher Market State: 8 times — 100%
  • then EURCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURCAD market energy: -96.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.68%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.82%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

EURCAD · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURCAD chart →
Market Energy
-85.1%
Bear Extreme
-96.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Extreme state determined for EURCAD through the 4H candle data.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from -85.1% to -96.2%, down -11.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCAD Market Energy ranged from -96.2 to +53.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, EURCAD was at 1.5984, down 0.57% from the previous candle (1.6074). Market Energy was -96.2%, down 11.1 points from -85.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCAD closed at 1.5984, down 0.57% from the previous 4H candle (1.6074). This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD on record since 2019.

How did EURCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -85.1% to -96.2%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD.

Do EURCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCAD at -85.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.2%, EURCAD is 21.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.82 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, EURCAD (Bear Extreme, -96.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. EURCAD energy is currently below DXY by 115.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCAD on the EURCAD overview →

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