Analysis

EURUSD 1.1229 ↑0.15%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 12:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.1213 · High 1.1239 · Low 1.1208 · Close 1.1229 · Range (high − low) 0.00304
EURUSD closed at 1.1229, up 0.00167 (+0.15%) from 1.1213.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 22.2% to Bull Bias at 31.0%, up 8.9 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.12071.12211.12131.1229
Energy13.7%24.3%22.2%31.0%
Price change↓ 0.06%↑ 0.12%↓ 0.07%↑ 0.15%
Energy change↓ 12.5↑ 10.6↓ 2.2↑ 8.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.06%↑ 0.12%↓ 0.07%↑ 0.15%↓ 12.5↑ 10.6↓ 2.2↑ 8.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.15% — higher than 72% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.9 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
Knowledge

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RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,479 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,627 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 490 times — 30.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,137 times — 69.9%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 31.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 28.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 10.16%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
22.2%
Bull Bias
31.0%
Bull Bias
61.1%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, EURUSD currently in the energy zone tilted toward Bull.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +8.9% from the previous candle, from 22.2% to 31%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to 70.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 16-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1229, up 0.15% from the previous candle (1.1213). Market Energy was 31%, up 8.9 points from 22.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1229, up 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (1.1213). This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,134 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.2% to 31%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 22.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 31%, EURUSD is 28.96 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 10.16 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.9%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Bias, 31%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.6%. EURUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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