Analysis

EURUSD 1.1196 ↑0.13%: Bulls very strong · 4H 20:00 Oct 13, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.1182 · High 1.1198 · Low 1.1175 · Close 1.1196 · Range (high − low) 0.00225
EURUSD closed at 1.1196, up 0.0014 (+0.13%) from 1.1182.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -8.8% to Bull Critical at 62.3%, up 71.1 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.1161.11711.11821.1196
Energy-94.9%-73.5%-8.8%62.3%
Price change↑ 0.05%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.09%↑ 0.13%
Energy change↑ 4.8↑ 21.4↑ 64.7↑ 71.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.05%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.09%↑ 0.13%↑ 4.8↑ 21.4↑ 64.7↑ 71.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 71.1 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,485 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 646 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 181 times — 28%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 465 times — 72%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 62.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.27%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
-8.8%
Neutral
62.3%
Bull Critical
47.1%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Result for EURUSD: Bull Critical.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -8.8% to 62.3%, up +71.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to 62.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 13-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1196, up 0.13% from the previous candle (1.1182). Market Energy was 62.3%, up 71.1 points from -8.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1196, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (1.1182). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,118 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 71.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -8.8% to 62.3%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -8.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.3%, EURUSD is 12.23 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.27 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 62.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -48.8%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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