Analysis

EURUSD 1.1171 ↑0.11%: Bears very strong · 4H 12:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.116 · High 1.1178 · Low 1.1159 · Close 1.1171 · Range (high − low) 0.00184
EURUSD closed at 1.1171, up 0.001185 (+0.11%) from 1.116.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -94.9% to Bear Critical at -73.5%, up 21.4 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.11581.11541.1161.1171
Energy-97.2%-99.7%-94.9%-73.5%
Price change↓ 0.17%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.05%↑ 0.11%
Energy change↓ 6.0↓ 2.5↑ 4.8↑ 21.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.17%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.05%↑ 0.11%↓ 6.0↓ 2.5↑ 4.8↑ 21.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 60% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 21.4 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,487 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-26
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 759 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 543 times — 71.5%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 216 times — 28.5%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -73.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.51%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.99%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
-94.9%
Bear Extreme
-73.5%
Bear Critical
-8.8%
Neutral
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical reading determined for EURUSD through the 4H candle data.

Meanwhile, Compared to the previous candle (-94.9%), Market Energy rose +21.4% to -73.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to 31.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 13-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1171, up 0.11% from the previous candle (1.116). Market Energy was -73.5%, up 21.4 points from -94.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1171, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (1.116). This rise is larger than 60% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,116 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 21.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -94.9% to -73.5%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -94.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.5%, EURUSD is 13.51 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.99 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.3%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -73.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87.8%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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