Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1486 to 1.1469, down 0.14%
Market Energy Neutral 15.1% to Bear Bias -49.3%, down 64.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.05%0.05%0.14%
Energy12.33.014.164.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.14% 12.3 3.0 14.1 64.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 64.4 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,341 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,681 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,154 times68.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 527 times31.4%

Current EURUSD market energy: -49.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.72%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
15.1%
Neutral
-49.3%
Bear Bias
-78.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, EURUSD reflects the Bear Bias energy level.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy reading dropped -64.4%, moving from 15.1% to -49.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to +15.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1469, down 0.14% from the previous candle (1.1486). Market Energy was -49.3%, down 64.4 points from 15.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1469, down 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (1.1486). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,023 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 64.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 15.1% to -49.3%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 15.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -49.3%, EURUSD is 28.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.72 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 7.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -49.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.9%. EURUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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