Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1615 to 1.1605, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Bias -42.6% to Bear Bias -44.9%, down 2.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.13%0.07%0.03%0.09%
Energy17.33.43.02.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.13% 0.07% 0.03% 0.09% 17.3 3.4 3.0 2.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.4 pts — higher than 16% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,298 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,674 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,153 times68.9%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 521 times31.1%

Current EURUSD market energy: -44.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.07%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-42.6%
Bear Bias
-44.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, EURUSD recorded in trend energy leaning Bear.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Compared to the previous candle (-42.6%), Market Energy dropped -2.4% to -44.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -66.3 to +38.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1605, down 0.09% from the previous candle (1.1615). Market Energy was -44.9%, down 2.4 points from -42.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1605, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (1.1615). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,984 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.6% to -44.9%. This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -42.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.9%, EURUSD is 24.05 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.07 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -44.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.8%. EURUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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