Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1611 to 1.162, up 0.07%
Market Energy Neutral 17.6% to Neutral 20.7%, up 3.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.07%
Energy▼ 4.7▼ 6.4▼ 33.4▲ 3.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.07%▼ 4.7▼ 6.4▼ 33.4▲ 3.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 45% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.0 pts — higher than 21% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,395 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,133 times

▸When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,059 times — 49.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,074 times — 50.4%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 20.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.55%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
17.6%
Neutral
20.7%
Neutral
22.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, EURUSD shows neutral energy.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, The energy level rose +3%: from 17.6% now at 20.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.7 to +75.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.162, up 0.07% from the previous candle (1.1611). Market Energy was 20.7%, up 3.0 points from 17.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.162, up 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (1.1611). This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,957 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17.6% to 20.7%. This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 17.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.7%, EURUSD is 0.21 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.55 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.6%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 20.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.5%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 2.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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