Analysis

EURUSD 1.125 ↑0.04%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 1H 17:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.1242 · High 1.1252 · Low 1.124 · Close 1.125 · Range (high − low) 0.00116
EURUSD closed at 1.125, up 0.000435 (+0.04%) from 1.1246.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 71.5% to Bull Extreme at 78.3%, up 6.8 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.12341.12391.12461.125
Energy60.9%61.7%71.5%78.3%
Price change↑ 0.09%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.06%↑ 0.04%
Energy change↑ 6.8↑ 0.8↑ 9.8↑ 6.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.09%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.06%↑ 0.04%↑ 6.8↑ 0.8↑ 9.8↑ 6.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 50% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.8 pts — higher than 47% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme EURUSD 1H

Sample: 73,422 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 989 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 989 times — 100%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 78.3%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 3.8%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
71.5%
Bull Critical
78.3%
Bull Extreme
81.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, EURUSD noted at the peak Bull energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy at 78.3%, up +6.8% from 71.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to 99.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 17:00 on 16-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.125, up 0.04% from the previous candle (1.1246). Market Energy was 78.3%, up 6.8 points from 71.5%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.125, up 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (1.1246). This rise is larger than 50% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 48,561 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.5% to 78.3%. This rise is larger than 47% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at 71.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.3%, EURUSD is 21.7 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 3.8 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -6.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.7%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Extreme, 78.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87.4%. EURUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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