Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1258 to 1.1253, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.5% to Bull Critical 61.8%, down 3.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.02%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.04%
Energy▼ 4.5▼ 7.5▲ 0.9▼ 3.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.02%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.04%▼ 4.5▼ 7.5▲ 0.9▼ 3.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.7 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 1H

Sample: 73,163 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,088 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 597 times — 28.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,491 times — 71.4%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 61.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.82%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-10-02 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.5%
Bull Critical
61.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
05:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bull energy state is the result just recorded for EURUSD after the 1H candle closed.

On the measurement side, The energy level dropped -3.7%: from 65.5% now at 61.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +94.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 03-10-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1253, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1.1258). Market Energy was 61.8%, down 3.7 points from 65.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1253, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (1.1258). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 48,332 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.5% to 61.8%. This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at 65.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.8%, EURUSD is 12.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.82 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 61.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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