Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1368 to 1.1361, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Bias -31.0% to Bear Extreme -85.8%, down 54.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 7.4▼ 2.7▲ 3.6▼ 54.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.06%▼ 7.4▼ 2.7▲ 3.6▼ 54.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 54.7 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURUSD 1H

Sample: 73,092 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 975 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 975 times — 100%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -85.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.3%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.2%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-09-29 03:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-31.0%
Bear Bias
-85.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURUSD classified into the peak Bear energy zone after the 1H candle completed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy at -85.8%, down -54.7% from -31% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.8 to +93.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1361, down 0.06% from the previous candle (1.1368). Market Energy was -85.8%, down 54.7 points from -31%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1361, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (1.1368). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 48,243 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 54.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31% to -85.8%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at -31%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.8%, EURUSD is 11.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.2 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Extreme, -85.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.4%. EURUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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