Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1617 to 1.1604, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.0% to Bear Extreme -77.8%, up 11.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.06%0.09%0.11%
Energy30.952.136.111.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.06% 0.09% 0.11% 30.9 52.1 36.1 11.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.2 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURUSD 1H

Sample: 72,777 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 958 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 958 times100%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current EURUSD market energy: -77.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.29%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.21%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-89.0%
Bear Extreme
-77.8%
Bear Extreme
-60.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded EURUSD in the Bear Extreme measurement after the 1H candle closed.

End-of-session update for 1H, A +11.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -77.8% (previous: -89%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.6 to +80.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1604, down 0.11% from the previous candle (1.1617). Market Energy was -77.8%, up 11.2 points from -89%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1604, down 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (1.1617). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 47,940 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89% to -77.8%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at -89%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.8%, EURUSD is 3.29 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.21 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 83.1%. EURUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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